SCM offers the highest quality of wealth management products and
services. The following frequently asked questions provide
important information on Stephens' unique investment approach.
- Can you explain in more detail the creation of your proprietary
index?
- Why does SCM focus its research efforts on one specific
sector?
- What is the biggest challenge in managing AAA government
bonds?
- What makes SCM's product distinct?
- Excellent returns aside, why else would investors be interested
in your product?
Q. Can you explain in more detail the creation of your
proprietary index?
A. We believe that the Federal Reserve monetary
base is the best indicator of future inflation and, therefore,
analysis of the base is essential to the index. Some investment
professionals will claim that monetary aggregates, M1, M2 or M3,
provide acceptable numbers on which to determine inflation. We
disagree. The monetary base is the primary component upon which all
monetary aggregates are built, and we recognize that the aggregates
have other collective data that destroy their usefulness.
We begin with the monetary base number and, after smoothing out
its data with a three-month moving average, we compute the trailing
12-month rate of change. That number will have an impact on
inflation approximately two years into the future.
It is important to note that the monetary base is not the sole
determinate of inflation. Inflation is strongly influenced by
significant changes in oil prices. Oil prices do not have a lag
like the monetary base does - oil has a concurrent impact. We do
not attempt to estimate oil prices almost two years into the
future. Instead, we focus our efforts on building scenarios based
on prices going up, down or staying constant. We run our formula
forward, and it shows us the direction in which inflation is likely
to trend.
Q. Why does SCM focus its research efforts on one specific
sector?
A. There are many strategic advantages to
solely buying government bonds. We have AAA portfolios that are not
affected by the credit risks that so many of our competitors
currently face. By selecting only government securities that are
non-callable, we ensure that bonds can reach maturity and can
maximize gains. We outdistance investment professionals who buy
callable corporate paper or mortgage-backed securities that lose
maturation when people pre-pay home mortgages. Our strategy is able
to avoid the risks of a portfolio downgrade or an overestimation of
corporate earnings.
To sum it up in the most basic of terms: Government AAA bonds
allow us to capture higher results with less risk - and it is an
appealing proposal to our client base.
Q. What is the biggest challenge in managing AAA government
bonds?
A. The heart of the challenge is forecasting
interest rates, which a large segment of the population does not
believe is possible. Many people think interest rate changes are
random events. However, we have disproved this notion by building a
12-year audited track record of superior performance based on our
forecasting strategy. Our ability to accurately assess interest
rate changes stems from the collective experience and knowledge of
Stephens' Fixed Income Executive Committee, which meets on a daily
basis to discuss market trends. We are both active members of the
committee and participate in all levels of decision-making.
Q. What makes Stephens Capital Management's product
distinct?
A. All of the issues mentioned above really
show the distinct nature of an SCM portfolio. We utilize only the
highest quality bonds, thereby limiting credit risk. We buy
non-callable Treasuries and agencies that create maximum gains in a
falling interest rate environment. We eliminate long maturity risk
by investing in government securities of less than 10 years.
Finally, we do not use derivatives.
Q. Excellent returns aside, why else would investors be
interested in your product?
A. We are a hands-on investment management
organization, dedicated to providing the highest level of customer
service. We are always accessible to our clients, and we generally
encourage clients to speak with SCM's decision-making portfolio
managers as often as needed. In addition, we are always available
to meet with investment committees or boards at a client's
discretion.