July Consumer Price Index Update | Stephens

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Market Trends

July Consumer Price Index Update

Aug 10, 2023

The Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures changes in prices paid by consumers for goods and services, was released earlier today for the month of July and showed a 0.2% month-over-month (m/m) increase and +3.2% year-over-year (y/y) vs. the prior month of +0.2% m/m and +3.0 y/y. This release was the first increase over the past 12 months. The data showed two hot spots in Food, which continues to remain elevated, increasing 4.9% and Shelter, which is 40% of Core CPI, increasing 7.7% y/y.

Source: Consumer Price Index Summary (bls.gov)

The table below shows m/m percentage changes in CPI indexes including All Items, Food and Energy in addition to the Core CPI, which excludes Food and Energy.

Source: Consumer Price Index Summary (bls.gov)

One of the two major focuses of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is price stability, which is running well above the target range of 2%. Per the Federal Reserve’s July 26 news release, members reemphasized their commitment to using the tools at their disposal to try and tackle inflation. The FOMC’s next decision regarding fed fund rates will be announced on September 20. The CPI summary for August is scheduled for release on September 13.

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