Who We Are

What We Do

We provide investment banking, research, sales and trading, asset and wealth management, public finance, insurance, private capital, and family office services.

About Us

We are a family-owned financial services firm that values client relationships, long-term stability, and supporting the communities where we live and work.

The Stephens Story

The idea of family defines our culture, because each of us knows that our reputation is on the line as if our own name was on the door.

Leadership

Our reputation as a leading independent financial services firm is built on the stability of our longstanding and highly experienced senior executives.

Impact Initiatives

We are committed to corporate philanthropy; economic and financial literacy advocacy; and diversity, equity, and inclusion initiatives.

Our Brand Ambassadors

Stephens is proud to sponsor the PGA TOUR, LPGA Tour, and PGA TOUR Champions careers, as well as applaud the philanthropic endeavors, of our Brand Ambassadors.

Making Connections

We host many highly informative meetings each year with clients, industry decision makers, and thought leaders across the U.S. and in Europe.

Our Businesses

Capital Management

We provide fiduciary investment strategies to public-and private-sector institutional clients through asset allocation, consulting, and retirement services.

Fixed Income Sales & Trading

Decades of proven performance and experience in providing tailored fixed income trading and underwriting services to major municipal and corporate issuers.

Institutional Equities and Research

Proven industry-leading research, global market insights, and client-focused execution.

Insurance

Customized risk management, property & casualty, executive strategies and employee benefits solutions that protect our clients over the long term.

Investment Banking

We assist companies with accessing capital through innovative advisory and execution services that help firms achieve their strategic goals.

Private Capital

We have been a trusted and reliable source of capital for private companies for over 70 years.

Private Wealth Management

Our experienced Private Client Group professionals develop customized investment strategies to help clients achieve their financial goals.

Public Finance

We are a trusted municipal advisor with proven expertise in public financings. We also work with clients in negotiated and competitive municipal underwritings.

Market Trends

Weekly Economic Review | August 29, 2022

Aug 29, 2022

Economic Review

The Labor Department reported that initial jobless claims declined for the second straight week, signaling the labor market continues to show strength. This strength is defying the Fed’s efforts to cool labor demand in order to get inflation under control. Claims in regular state programs decreased 2,000 to 243,000 for the week ending August 20th, after reporting a downwardly revised 245,000 initial claims the prior week. The four-week moving average climbed to 247,000 from 245,500 the prior week. The total number of people continuing to receive regular ongoing state benefits, a report which is lagged one week, decreased 19,000 to 1.415 million for the week ending August 13th.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago reported the pace of U.S. economic activity returned to above-trend-growth in July after two straight months of below-trend-growth. The Chicago Fed National index, which draws on 85 economic indicators, was positive 0.27 in July after reporting a negative 0.25 in June. A reading above zero indicates above-trend-growth in the national economy.

The Commerce Department reported sales of new homes fell in July for the sixth time this year and to the slowest pace in more than six years. A mix of rising mortgage rates and high home prices is keeping many potential buyers from buying a home. New home sales fell 12.6% to a 511,000 annualized pace in July after reporting a downwardly revised 585,000 pace the prior month. New home sales, which account for about 10% of the residential market, are accounted for when contracts are signed, which makes this data a more timely indicator than existing home transactions.

The Commerce Department reported durable goods orders were unchanged in July, driven by a 50% drop in orders for defense aircraft and parts, reversing the prior month’s gains. Spending related to defense has been volatile due to the war in Ukraine. Non-military spending showed positive momentum holding up with core orders and shipments showing strength. Durable goods, which are bookings for goods and materials meant to last at least three years, remained unchanged in July after increasing 2.2% in June. The non-military capital goods orders excluding aircraft, a proxy for business investment, rose 0.4% in July after surging 0.9% in June. Excluding transportation, durable orders increased 0.3% in July after growing 0.3% in June. The ratio of inventory to shipments remained unchanged at 1.80 in July.

The National Association of Realtors reported the index of pending home re-sales dropped in July for the sixth time this year to the lowest level since April of 2020. The number of contracts to purchase previously owned homes fell 1.0% in July after falling 8.9% in June. Pending home sales are down 22.5% on a seasonally adjusted year-on-year basis in July. Pending sales are a leading indicator in the housing sector as they reflect contracts signed, as opposed to actual closed and final sales.

The second estimate by the Commerce Department of the 2nd quarter gross domestic product showed economic growth declined for the second straight quarter. Gross domestic product contracted at a 0.6% annualized rate in the 2nd quarter, earlier estimated as a contraction of 0.9%. A report on profit margins showed companies reached their widest since 1950, indicating prices charged by businesses are outpacing their increased costs for production and labor. Nominal GDP increased by 8.4% but the GDP deflator rose by 9.0%. Personal consumption, which accounts for about 70% of the economy, gained 1.5% in the quarter after gaining 1.8% in the previous quarter. The GDP price index gained 8.9% in the 2nd quarter after increasing 8.2% in the 1st quarter.

The Commerce Department reported the goods trade deficit narrowed in July to its smallest level this year as imports fell more than exports. The deficit decreased 9.7% to $89.1 billion in July. Exports fell 0.2% to $181.0 billion and imports dropped 3.5% to $270.0 billion.

The Commerce Department reported wholesale inventories rose 0.8% in July after gaining 1.9% the previous month. Year-on-year wholesale inventories have climbed 25.4%. Retail inventories increased 1.1% in July after gaining 1.9% in June and are up 20.2% year-on-year.

The Commerce Department reported personal income rose a disappointing 0.2% in July and personal spending climbed an even worse 0.1%. These numbers are not adjusted for inflation. Nominal spending on goods declined 0.2% in July, while spending on services rose 0.3%. The savings rate remained unchanged at 5.0% in July. The PCE Deflator, the preferred inflation gauge by the Federal Reserve, declined 0.1% in July, bringing the year-on-year gain to 4.6%, above the central bank’s target of 2.0%. Disposable income, or the money left over after taxes, increased 0.2% in July after climbing 0.7% in June.

The University of Michigan’s final index of consumer sentiment rose more than expected as gasoline prices continued to drop. The gauge of consumer confidence increased to 58.2 in August from an earlier estimate of 55.1. This is an increase from the 51.5 reading in July. The index of current conditions rose to 58.6 from 51.5 the prior month while the index of expectations jumped to 58.0 from 47.3 the prior month.

The Mortgage Bankers Association reported the MBA index of mortgage applications fell last week for the second straight week. The index decreased 1.2% for the week ending August 19th, after declining 2.3% the previous week. Refinancing applications fell 2.8% to 609.8 from 627.1 the prior week. Home purchase mortgage applications decreased 0.5% to 202.8. Refinancing made up 31.1% of applications with an average loan size of $269,000, while purchases average loan size was $406,400. The average contract rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage climbed to 5.65% from 5.45% last week.

BOND MARKET REVIEW

Friday’s yields for the 2-, 5-, 10- & 30-year Treasury benchmarks securities were 3.40%, 3.21%, 3.04% and 3.19%. The 2yr/5yr, 5yr/10yr, 10yr/30yr and 2yr/30yr spreads closed at -19, -17, 15, and -21 basis points respectively.

Economic/Events Calendar

Tuesday

August 30

Jun FHFA House Price Index (0.8%)

8:00 Central

2nd Qtr House Price Purchased Index

8:00 Central

Jun S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City Index (0.90%)

8:00 Central

Aug Conf Board Consumer Confidence (98.0)

9:00 Central

Jul JOLTS Job Openings (10,375k)

9:00 Central

Wednesday

August 31

Aug 26th MBA Mortgage Applications

6:00 Central

Aug ADP Employment Change (300k)

7:15 Central

Thursday

September 1

Aug 27th Initial Jobless Claims (248k)

7:30 Central

2nd Qtr Nonfarm Productivity (-4.3%)

7:30 Central

2nd Qtr Unit Labor Costs (10.7%)

7:30 Central

Jul Construction Spending (-0.3%)

9:00 Central

Aug ISM Manufacturing (51.9)

9:00 Central

Friday

September 2

Aug Change in Nonfarm Payrolls (300k)

7:30 Central

Aug Unemployment Rate (3.5%)

7:30 Central

Aug Average Hourly Earnings-YOY (5.3%)

7:30 Central

Aug Labor Force Participation Rate (62.2%)

7:30 Central

Jul Factory Orders (0.2%)

9:00 Central

Jul Factory Orders Ex Transportation

9:00 Central

About the Expert

Troy Clark

Senior Vice President, Fixed Income Strategist, Fixed Income Sales & Trading

Mr. Clark has been in investment banking since 1983. He is a Chartered Financial Analyst. He has been a fixed income strategist at Stephens Inc. since 1996, developing investment strategies, policies and procedures for institutions consistent with overall asset/liability management.

Read full bio
Source: Bloomberg L.P.
  1. This report has been prepared solely for informative purposes as of its stated date and is not a solicitation, or an offer, to buy or sell any security. All expressions of opinion reflect the judgment of the individual expressing the opinion and are subject to change. This report does not purport to be a complete description of the markets or developments referred to in the material. Information included in the report was obtained from internal and external sources which we consider reliable, but we have not independently verified such information and do not guarantee that it is accurate or complete. Prices, yields, and availability are subject to change with the market. There is no assurance any forward looking statements will be realized or any of the trends mentioned will continue. Nothing in this report is intended, or should be construed, as legal, accounting, regulatory or tax advice. Additional information available upon request. 2022 Stephens Inc., Member NYSE/SIPC.