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Market Trends
The May jobs report came in much stronger than expected, with nonfarm payrolls increasing 172,000 versus the consensus estimate of 85,000. Leisure and hospitality, local government, and healthcare led the gains. Revisions further emphasized a strengthening labor market, with March and April numbers both revised upwards to 214,000 and 179,000 respectively, making total added gains of 93,000. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3% while the broader underemployment rate fell slightly to 8.1%, keeping in line with estimates.
On the wage side, average hourly earnings rose 3.4% year-over-year, slightly below last month’s 3.6%. That trajectory is constructive for keeping wage inflation contained. Given the strength of the last three employment reports, the FOMC will likely be more focused on the inflationary side of their dual mandate, and interest rate
Last Five Months Nonfarm Payrolls

Source: BLS.gov
Nonfarm Payrolls

Source: FRED - U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics